Avi Loeb and researcher Nandal published a kinematic assessment of Department of War file DOW-UAP-PR043 on August 6, with UAP Logbook documenting the result on August 7. The short infrared track had been released as unresolved footage from Africa in 2025 without an accompanying witness narrative.
The analysts matched terrain features to the Damerjog dry wadi near Goubetto in southern Djibouti. Ground-control points were used to estimate the sensor platform's altitude and speed, then to separate camera-platform motion from the apparent motion of the target across the frame.
After that correction, the estimated path was straight and showed no statistically meaningful acceleration or turn. Comparison with the aerodynamic behavior of an AGM-88-class tactical missile led the authors to judge a fast missile under thrust or in coast as physically consistent with the available frames.
The identification remains a reasoned classification rather than recovery of a serial number. The public clip lacks range and native platform telemetry, and the visible interval lasts about four-tenths of a second. The analysis therefore narrows the explanation to a missile-like object but cannot name a specific weapon model.